Authored by Tom Luongo,
Turkish-US relations are horrible and deteriorating by the day regardless of bromides on the contrary. Actions converse louder than phrases. And that has been all President Trump appears able to anymore, phrases not actions.
Because the starting of l’affair Khashoggi Turkey has been extracting concession after concession from the US because the Trump administration tries to salvage its soon-to-be-unveiled Center East peace plan.
The newest concession would be the greatest. There’s a report out now that the Trump administration is readying the extradition of cleric Fethulah Gulen, who President Erdogan believes was behind the coup try towards him in July of 2016.
The US has protected Gulen effectively past any affordable measure for somebody not of their pay so Erdogan’s claims ring true sufficient. I’ve all the time thought he was a US intelligence asset and that the US was those really behind the coup try.
And because the Trump administration has been determined to get the Turks to cease leaking particulars of the Khashoggi homicide, Erdogan has just about had a free hand to conduct enterprise as he’s seen match for the previous two-plus months.
Whether or not the US ever returns Gulen to Ankara or not is definitely irrelevant; preserving it a sore spot open is its greatest worth whereas Turkey prepares an assault towards US-backed YPG forces in Manbij, Syria.
It helps elevate Turkey’s place with the opposite nations concerned within the Astana peace course of for Syria whereas preserving Trump, his overseas coverage psychological midgets and Saudi Arabia on their collective again foot.
Turkey has grown more and more stressed concerning the US’s lack of motion in turning Manbij over to them. And have now unleashed assaults on Kurdish forces in Northern Iraq to hamper them additional.
All of that is making the US presence in jap Syria extra untenable over time whereas the Saudis battle with falling oil costs and not need to pay the invoice for the US’s proxy warfare.
Don’t child your self, the US is struggling to maintain its monetary stress up on Iran.
If this stuff weren’t sufficient Turkish Prime Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu stated just lately that Ankara was now prepared to work with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad if he survives “democratic and credible” elections. That is wealthy coming from Turkey, however no matter.
The significance of this assertion, nonetheless, can’t be overstated. Turkey was one of many main companions within the mission to destroy Syria. And now they’ve joined with Russia, Iran and China in negotiating the peace course of.
They’ve gone from “Assad should go!” to “Assad can keep.” It’s an admission that the US plan for balkanization of Syria will ultimately fail and that their finest wager is placing most stress on the US to surrender its regional plans.
Russia, in fact, stands behind Turkey on this and themselves are actually upping the prices on the US and the Israelis. As a result of, it’s now Russian coverage to help Syrian Arab Military forces in proportional retaliation towards Israeli aggression in Syrian territory, in keeping with Elijah Magnier.
Not will the Russians stand apart and permit Israel a free hand over bombing what it says are Hezbollah and Iranian targets inside Syria. The SAA will now strike again with a proportional response.
An airport for an airport, because it had been.
What began as a State Division operation to put in a puppet authorities and sow chaos in Syria beneath Hillary Clinton then turned one to empty Russian and Iranian sources by losing their time beneath John Kerry.
Right now, that US/Israeli/Saudi technique has been turned on its head.
It’s now the US and the Saudis which might be feeling the pinch of one more quagmire with out finish. Furthermore, the Israeli safety state of affairs is now worse than it was earlier than all of this began within the first place. This necessitates an much more unhinged response from Washington which it can not defend to the American folks as to why we have to keep in Syria endlessly.
None of that is what President Trump campaigned on. None of that is what candidate and citizen Trump argued for.
The actual warfare of attrition was by no means about bodily sources and cash. It was all the time about time. The Iranians and Russians have performed for time. Time introduced out the reality concerning the Syrian invasion. It uncovered the actual causes of the battle.
The hope now for the US is that monetary stress will get Iran to knuckle beneath. However, take a look at what is going on. Oil costs are in freefall as the worldwide financial system slows down because of debt saturation, a rising greenback and growing opposition within the West to neoliberalism and globalism.
Trump whines about this as a result of it upsets his mercantilist plans to nook the power markets whereas weaponizing using the greenback.
EU technocrats who fancy themselves the inheritors of a waning US empire, bristle beneath Trump’s plans. They’ll construct another fee car to purchase items and companies from sanctioned entities. That is about rather more than Iranian oil.
So, whereas Trump, Bolton, Mnuchin and Pompeo, the 4 Horsemen of the Overseas Coverage Apocalypse, suppose they’re profitable this warfare on commerce, all they’re doing is falling into the very entice Putin, Xi and Rouhani have set for them.
Once more, they enjoying for time. The greenback is the US’s power and in addition its Achilles’ heel. And in case you are enjoying for time it’s to construct different channels for commerce oil, fuel and no matter else the US deems towards its pursuits with out want for .
Trump’s power dominance plan is as clear as his narcissism. Extra doubtless the sanctions exemptions for purchasing Iranian oil shall be prolonged in Might as a result of he can’t have a worldwide disaster be his fault as he prepares for re-election in 2020.
However, that’s precisely what he’s establishing.
So, now again to Syria.
Those that had been set as much as be scapegoats – particularly Qatar and Turkey – washed their palms of the operation shortly, made offers with Russian President Vladimir Putin and charted their very own unbiased paths. By the point the reality about US involvement in Syria was uncovered they had been lengthy gone and solely the actual perpetrators left holding onto poor positions and worse arguments.
All Trump can do now’s overtly admit that we’re there on behalf of Israel and Saudi Arabia to get Iran. That’s it. He can promote that to a part of his base. However, not sufficient of them to win re-election.
His peace plan is DOA. It died together with the 15 Russian airmen on that IL-20 again in August. I’ll be stunned whether it is ever truly introduced. That one occasion set us on this path. It completely poisoned Russian/Israeli relations as Netanyahu overplayed his hand helping NATO in a pointless provocation which almost sparked a wider warfare.
Experiences are the Putin doesn’t return his telephone calls and now dictates to Bibi what occurs subsequent. This additionally tells me Putin now has management over his Israeli fifth columnists throughout the Kremlin in any other case this order would by no means have been issued and made public.
Now Netanyahu is hemmed in on all sides and the Saudis are political pawns between the warring factions of the US authorities – Trump who needs an Arab NATO and the Deep State that wishes him on a platter. Their benefactor, Trump, is in an more and more untenable place who will quickly be compelled to decide on between sizzling warfare and impeachment.
In the meantime, Iran, Turkey and Russia will proceed to bleed out the US forces in Syria whereas sanctions show to be more and more much less efficient. Concurrently, the Astana course of strikes ahead with all teams making an attempt to succeed in out to one another across the sclerotic attain of the US and put an finish to this shameful interval of US overseas coverage madness.
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